https://www.youtube.com/watch/DiDBiahB604 Tehran’s best and worst-case scenarios | GZERO World
What will Iran look like a year from now? Ian Bremmer and Brooking’s Thomas Wright discuss possible outcomes.

Subscribe to GZERO’s YouTube channel and turn on notifications (🔔): http://www.youtube.com/@GZEROMedia
Sign up for GZERO’s free newsletters on global politics: https://bit.ly/3D6cxhq

What might Iran look like a year after the war? According to Thomas Wright, the range of outcomes runs from unlikely political change to durable instability.

The best-case scenario—though Wright says is quite unlikely—is the emergence of a more legitimate government in Tehran. Public dissatisfaction with the current leadership runs deep, and in theory, that pressure could produce a regime that is more responsive to its people, even if it falls short of full democracy.

At the other extreme lies the worst-case scenario: fragmentation. If the state weakens too dramatically, Iran could splinter internally, creating a dangerous vacuum in an already volatile region. The most likely outcome may fall somewhere in between. The war could end with the regime still in power but significantly weakened—facing severe economic strain and struggling to provide basic services like electricity and energy. In that scenario, the Islamic Republic survives, but its long-term stability remains an open question.

Keep up with global news and why it matters. Follow GZERO!
X: https://bit.ly/3ZuRazl
Instagram: https://bit.ly/3Zw7QGx
PUPPET REGIME on Instagram: https://bit.ly/403D1cf
TikTok: https://bit.ly/4geicRa
LinkedIn: https://bit.ly/3ZvOHEB
Facebook: https://bit.ly/3OUM21v
Threads: https://bit.ly/4eUrT63
Bluesky: https://bit.ly/402LMU5
GZERO World on Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/3ZtrIKt
GZERO World on Spotify: https://bit.ly/4laoDY1

GZERO Media, a Eurasia Group company, is a multimedia publisher providing news, insights, and commentary on the events shaping our world. Our properties include GZERO World with Ian Bremmer, our weekly show on US public television; our newsletters GZERO Daily, GZERO AI, GZERO North, and GZERO Daily with Ian Bremmer; our parody series Puppet Regime; our digital video series including Ian Bremmer’s Quick Take every week; and the GZERO World Podcast. Our content is free and available at https://bit.ly/4fd0tst.

#gzeroworld #iran
via YouTube https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DiDBiahB604
ORIGIN